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FIGA Speech︱Xie Jun: Development of Beidou System and Application in Aviation Field
The author noticed that one change in the revised draft proposal caused market reaction.Article 12 stipulates that the original "Motor vehicles approved for registration shall comply with the national safety technical standards for motor vehicles" is changed to "Motor vehicles approved for registration shall comply with the national safety technical standards for motor vehicles and shall be equipped with electronic signs in accordance with regulations."One stone stirred up a thousand waves, and the market's attention to electronic license plates increased rapidly.
Electronic license plate is the electronic identity document of the car
So, what is electronic identification? The definition of motor vehicle electronic identification is the electronic ID card of a motor vehicle. The electronic license plate is installed on the identification window of the car windshield. Such a card itself does not require energy supply and can be used for a long time.
Traditionally, we register and enter the vehicle's frame number information based on the vehicle's frame number information, and then issue a license plate number. However, this method may cause fraud when identifying the road surface. At that time, it is sometimes difficult to distinguish whether the license plate is the original license plate or the license plate, but this problem does not exist with automobile electronic identification.
Because the electronic license plate chip will store vehicle-related information, including the car's license plate number, nature of use, vehicle type, insurance information, etc. Vehicles equipped with electronic signs can automatically, non-contact, and continuously complete vehicle identification and 24-hour monitoring. Even if information is collected remotely at a speed of 200 kilometers per hour, the identification accuracy can be guaranteed to reach 99.9%. Even if the vehicle license plate is blocked, defaced, or altered, it cannot escape the detection of the electronic license plate recognition system. It has a recognition effect that traditional physical license plates cannot achieve, and its encryption method also ensures security and stability.
Benchmarking ETC, industrial chain demand needs policy promotion
When it comes to electronic license plates, we have to mention ET. Both electronic license plates and ETC originate from mature RFID technology, but they are different in terms of application purpose, leading department, and technical indicators. It can be said that electronic license plates are more powerful than ETC and are even expected to become an iterative technology of ETC.
According to statistics from the Ministry of Public Security, as of March 2021, the number of cars in the country was 287 million, and as of the end of February 2021, the number of ETC users nationwide was 226 million.
In addition to being innovative technologies that are continuously promoted from the top down by policies, electronic license plates and ETC also have certain overlaps in their functions. At the same time, there is also a lot of discussion in the market about the potential competition between the two. Electronic license plates and ETC have their own advantages and disadvantages and are expected to coexist for some time.
No parking, unmanned operation and cashless transactions are the three main features of ETC, which is led by the Ministry of Transport. Electronic license plates can realize automatic, non-contact, and non-stop vehicle identification and monitoring, and are used for national vehicle true identity identification, led by the Traffic Management Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security.
Although the two have overlapping functions, they are different in many aspects such as construction cost and technical implementation. ETC cannot achieve precise identification and monitoring of vehicles, and electronic license plates have not yet been connected to the payment system. At the same time, the main application purposes of the two are different. It is expected that in the future, the two may coexist and exist on vehicles at the same time.
On the industrial side, the question that more people are concerned about is whether electronic license plates will form a rush to install them like ETC in 2019?
Some people believe that ETC’s large-scale and efficient onboarding of vehicles was due to specific factors of the right time and place. In addition to the policy promotion of the Ministry of Transport and other ministries, it was also inseparable from the competition among commercial banks for new car owner customers under the market competition at that time. At that time, many banks offered discounts such as 10% off national highway fees and free OBU cards.
What is the significance of promoting electronic license plates?
Relatively speaking, in addition to ensuring the authenticity and recognition accuracy of the license plate, electronic license plates can also write vehicle insurance information, regional information, etc. in the electronic identification reading and writing area, which will bring some functional expansion compared to our traditional license plates.
Now nationwide, electronic license plates are being piloted in many cities, including Wuxi, Shenzhen, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Chongqing, Changsha, Wuhan and other places. Different cities have different emphasis on implementation angles, management and control concepts, and capital investment. For example, in Wuxi, the focus is on the control of public transportation vehicles, in Wuhan, it will cooperate with some large-scale security activities, and in other places, it will also be used for some industrial vehicles.
How big is the industry space for electronic license plates? According to data, my country's potential electronic license plate market size in 2020 is about 83 billion yuan. Based on an 8% compound growth rate of car ownership, it is estimated that by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, that is, in 2025, the total industry size of my country's electronic license plate market will be approximately 122 billion yuan. It can be seen that the potential industry space for electronic license plates is still relatively large.
From the perspective of future promotion, it may be better to manage these special vehicles first.Because the number of these vehicles is relatively small, these vehicles are more important at the traffic management level and need to be controlled with priority.
The current pilots are indeed more focused on specific vehicles and specific industries, because there is less resistance to the installation of electronic signs in specific industries.For ordinary passenger car owners, it is indeed unrealistic to force installation at present, and the effect of the pilot may not be so obvious, so basically the pilot is mostly to do some monitoring on industrial vehicles.
So the question arises, is there a conflict in duplication of construction between electronic identification and ETC? It is generally believed thatETC can be understood as the vehicle's bank card, which enables non-stop charging based on the vehicle's passing trajectory.This is not inconsistent with electronic signs. Although there are similarities in technological evolution, the reading equipment of the two is different. In addition, the placement points of motor vehicle electronic signs on road testing equipment can be seen as supplements and encryption of existing traffic control equipment on the road to help the original control equipment better capture vehicle information.
From the perspective of national promotion, in addition to the top-down promotion of the installation of electronic license plates by the Ministry of Public Security, it is also necessary to introduce third-party commercial institutions other than car owners and regulators, such as insurance and banks, for joint promotion. The formation of this business model and the opening up of the information flow and capital flow of the three parties will take a certain amount of time to be verified.
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